UK elections 2015

Number-crunching, news-spotting and result-pondering

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All posts in: Opinion polls

April 05, 2015

The poll trends are shifting, but there’s still no surging

Here’s a line graph showing the results of every nationwide poll that has been published since the beginning of last month: The performance of the two main parties is clear. They…

April 02, 2015

Is support for the two main parties back on the rise?

Just before Christmas I wrote of how support for Labour and the Tories had reached an all-time low, with their combined share in opinion polls averaging around 64%. I added…

April 01, 2015

March poll round-up: Labour avoids crossover by a whisker

Having been marginally behind the Conservatives halfway through the month, Labour managed to end March back in front. But only just: The gap is too narrow to see on the…

March 19, 2015

What Budgets do to opinion polls

Can big, long speeches about economics made in the House of Commons on a weekday lunchtime ever pack enough punch to shift the mood of the entire nation? Of course…

March 13, 2015

Poll update: we’ve reached the crossover point

It’s been a long time coming and much anticipated, but the moment has finally arrived. The Conservatives’ monthly poll average has moved ahead of Labour for the first time since…

March 10, 2015

How much do polls change in the two months before an election?

In my round-up of February’s opinion poll trends, I wondered how much longer we’ll have to wait before seeing evidence of support moving back towards the two main parties. With under two…

March 05, 2015

We still don’t know exactly what’s going to happen in Scotland

Lord Ashcroft, the arch ringmaster of the election campaign, has done it again. Out of his hat he has pulled a clutch of constituency polls that have created yet another…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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UK elections 2015
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