UK elections 2015

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Month: September 2014

September 30, 2014

Six months today the election campaign begins – and MPs have just 100 days left in the Commons

We’re precisely six months away from the Queen dissolving parliament, at which point the 2015 election campaign will be officially under way. MPs are due to sit in the House…

September 29, 2014

A few more Lib Dems look set to defy the trend

Lord Ashcroft’s latest poll of Liberal Democrat battleground constituencies suggests I may need to revise my classification of the six species of Lib Dem MPs. His findings point to the…

September 28, 2014

The Tories need a turnaround in the polls unprecedented in modern history

A poll by YouGov published last Sunday at the start of Labour’s party conference put the party on 36%. Today’s YouGov poll, published the Sunday after Labour’s party conference, puts…

September 27, 2014

Five reasons Mark Reckless will struggle to win Rochester & Strood for Ukip

1. This is not going to be a duplicate of Clacton. For one thing, as Mark Wallace says on the ConservativeHome website, “Reckless is no Carswell”. He does not have…

September 26, 2014

Latest by-election results: Tories and Lib Dems trade gains

All of seats up for grabs in this week’s council by-elections changed hands. The Tories took one from the Lib Dems – but the Lib Dems took two from the…

September 25, 2014

Clacton and Heywood & Middleton: two weeks to go

A fortnight today, voters go to the polls in the Clacton and Heywood & Middleton by-elections. Both contests have fallen out of the national headlines during the past few weeks,…

September 24, 2014

A referendum defeat has made the SNP more of a threat on polling day, not less

I’ve previously described Scotland as Labour’s red wedge, and a place where only one party is likely to make gains at the general election. But the referendum has changed all…

September 23, 2014

East Midlands: a two-party tussle

The East Midlands is going to play a key role in the outcome of the election. Over a third of its constituencies are marginals, of which almost half have majorities…

September 22, 2014

Poll update: Ukip has been helped, not hindered, by the Scottish referendum

Despite most eyes being on Scotland these past weeks, pollsters have kept trotting out their regular snapshots of voting intention at the general election. And their findings have confirmed that…

September 21, 2014

Latest by-election results: three out of three for Labour

More so than usual, this week’s council by-elections were overshadowed by events elsewhere. In their own humble way they had a few interesting stories to tell, however. Labour was the…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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