May 07, 2015
Final polls: update
The final flurry of opinion polls is over. Here’s the full rundown: BMG: CON 34%, LAB 34%, UKIP 12%, LIB DEMS 10%, GREENS 4%: Tie ICM: LAB 35%, CON 34%, UKIP…
The final flurry of opinion polls is over. Here’s the full rundown: BMG: CON 34%, LAB 34%, UKIP 12%, LIB DEMS 10%, GREENS 4%: Tie ICM: LAB 35%, CON 34%, UKIP…
Over the next 24 hours we should see at least 11 opinion polls published. I had thought that today’s poll from Lord Ashcroft would be the last we’d hear from him before the…
A total of 70 polls have been published since the formal start of the election campaign on 30 March. The Tories have been ahead in 26 of them; Labour ahead…
This election campaign looks like it’s going to tease us right to the end. The poll of polls has reverted almost exactly to the position it was in one month…
Two polls at the weekend illustrated starkly the absence of consistency among individual snapshots of opinion at this election. One, carried out by Opinium for the Observer, put the Tories…
The monthly poll averages for the two of the four main parties are on the move. Not by much, admittedly, but after several months of almost no movement at all,…
I’ve now been running a poll of polls on the blog for over a month, based on a seven-day rolling average of all the latest nationwide polls. Here’s how the ratings…
Here’s a line graph showing the results of every nationwide poll that has been published since the beginning of last month: The performance of the two main parties is clear. They…
Just before Christmas I wrote of how support for Labour and the Tories had reached an all-time low, with their combined share in opinion polls averaging around 64%. I added…
Having been marginally behind the Conservatives halfway through the month, Labour managed to end March back in front. But only just: The gap is too narrow to see on the…