Time for my final forecast of the general election result. Since I began this blog exactly one year ago today, I have never put the Tories ahead of Labour in…

Earlier this year I published a list of seats I thought would most shape the result of the election, and from which we’d best judge the success and failure of all the…

If you take an average of all the latest predictions of the election result, the numbers remain tipped ever so slightly in Labour’s favour. By lining up the parties who would…

“Nobody knows who’ll be prime minister by the end of next week,” said Justin Webb at the start of the Today programme on Radio 4 yesterday. Actually, we do: it…

Of all the things not likely to take place at this election (an ever-increasing list including a majority government, a surge for Ukip, gains by the Lib Dems and a…

Over the course of the past year I’ve returned several times to the fortunes of the Liberal Democrats, reporting among other things on their strange death, their dicey dozen, their…

One of the most ill-informed comments I’ve heard from a politician in recent months came courtesy of the Labour MP Frank Field. In the aftermath of the Heywood & Middleton by-election, he…

I’ve seen little in the campaign so far to convince me that the election result is going to be vastly different to the one I predicted earlier this month. I…

It’s a stubborn and slightly unfashionable thing to say, but I continue to believe there will be Labour MPs in Scotland after 7 May. And not just one or two….

The highest turnout in any general election of the past half-century was in February 1974: a contest that resulted in a hung parliament and a period of minority government. Almost…