April 30, 2015
One week to go
“Nobody knows who’ll be prime minister by the end of next week,” said Justin Webb at the start of the Today programme on Radio 4 yesterday. Actually, we do: it…
Month: April 2015
April 29, 2015
The Labour-Conservative swing: what could happen
Of all the things not likely to take place at this election (an ever-increasing list including a majority government, a surge for Ukip, gains by the Lib Dems and a…
April 28, 2015
The Lib Dems’ collapse could stretch from Shetland to St Ives
Over the course of the past year I’ve returned several times to the fortunes of the Liberal Democrats, reporting among other things on their strange death, their dicey dozen, their…
April 27, 2015
How the poll of polls has changed: update
This election campaign looks like it’s going to tease us right to the end. The poll of polls has reverted almost exactly to the position it was in one month…
April 26, 2015
From ‘100 seats’ to just four: the measure of Ukip’s apparent failure
One of the most ill-informed comments I’ve heard from a politician in recent months came courtesy of the Labour MP Frank Field. In the aftermath of the Heywood & Middleton by-election, he…
April 25, 2015
Leaders’ campaign visits: the totals so far
Over 100 constituencies have now had the pleasure of a visit from one of the four main party leaders. Almost half of those visits have been in the shape of…
April 24, 2015
The bartering will have started by breakfast time
Precisely how much is unclear about the outcome of the general election should be clear by early the following morning. Almost all of the results are due to be declared by…
April 23, 2015
Two weeks to go
I’ve seen little in the campaign so far to convince me that the election result is going to be vastly different to the one I predicted earlier this month. I…
April 22, 2015
If we really knew what will happen in Scotland, there’d be no need for the election
It’s a stubborn and slightly unfashionable thing to say, but I continue to believe there will be Labour MPs in Scotland after 7 May. And not just one or two….
April 21, 2015
Will turnout be up or down?
The highest turnout in any general election of the past half-century was in February 1974: a contest that resulted in a hung parliament and a period of minority government. Almost…
UK elections 2015 