UK elections 2015

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Month: June 2014

June 30, 2014

The Lib Dem-Labour marginals, aka 20 places the next coalition will be decided

Another batch of opinion polls from marginal seats are due on Tuesday, once again courtesy of Lord Ashcroft. This time he’s surveyed the state of play in Liberal Democrat-Labour battlegrounds….

June 29, 2014

Labour will have enough trouble getting to 35%, never mind 40%

The Fabian Society has published a pamphlet called Labour’s Next Majority: A Constituency Guide. It’s written by the society’s deputy general secretary Marcus Roberts, and contains ideas and tactics to…

June 28, 2014

The safest constituency in the country

…is looking for a new incumbent. Joe Benton, Labour MP for Bootle since 1990, has announced he is stepping down next year. Benton was born in 1933, and is one…

June 27, 2014

Latest by-election results: unfinished business leaves two councils on a knife’s edge

This week’s local by-elections were both tidying-up exercises following last month’s nationwide contests. Neither result has altered the balance of power on the councils in question. But in both cases…

June 26, 2014

Ignore both the scaremongers and the dreamers: Ukip are still on course to win no seats

Tory backbenchers are playing the Ukip card again. Certain members of the party have been doing this for a year or so now, sometimes advocating an electoral pact, sometimes endorsing…

June 25, 2014

Wooing the commuter vote: could Labour be on track for a couple of unlikely gains?

Survation has published the results of a poll it carried out on behalf of the RMT union in four “commuter” constituencies on the outskirts of London. None of the four…

June 24, 2014

The Tories could win a majority without the north of England

George Osborne was in Manchester yesterday, dangling goodies in front of the region’s bigwigs and noting pointedly that he is only the second chancellor of the exchequer in history to…

June 23, 2014

The ‘unknown knowns’ that could disrupt the weeks before polling day

One of the reasons often trotted out for the Tories’ surprise win at the 1970 general election is the publication of some unexpectedly poor trade statistics in the week of…

June 22, 2014

David Blunkett may be going, but there’ll still be one big beast left in Sheffield

First Jack Straw, then Peter Hain, now David Blunkett: the list of Labour big beasts stepping down at the 2015 general election has just got longer. Blunkett has been an…

June 21, 2014

The one seat the Liberal Democrats could gain at the general election

What’s going to happen to Mike Hancock, former Liberal Democrat turned independent member of parliament for Portsmouth South? Plenty of people have been offering a view on what should happen…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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