UK elections 2015

Number-crunching, news-spotting and result-pondering

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Month: March 2015

March 31, 2015

The Tory-Labour battleground: the five categories of seats

With the election campaign fully under way, it’s high time to revisit the 60 constituencies that will play the biggest part in determining the result. They are the seats Labour…

March 30, 2015

London could swing in a different direction to the rest of south-east England

Ever since Labour did better than expected in London in last year’s local elections, there’s been a sense that come the general election the party will benefit from a higher swing…

March 29, 2015

The ‘pro’ and ‘anti’ Tory blocs: how the numbers currently add up

If you take a simple average of all the latest forecasts of the election result*, the Conservative party has an 13-seat lead over Labour. Both the main parties are well…

March 28, 2015

Latest by-election results: a hat trick for the SNP

All of this week’s council by-elections took place outside England. There were five in total, four in Scotland and one in Wales. The SNP won three seats: two gains and…

March 27, 2015

The six species of Lib Dems: updated

It’s time for another refresh of my anatomy of the Liberal Democrat party. I first updated my list of six species a couple of months ago. Since then things have…

March 26, 2015

Arithmetic is on the side of the SNP, not Ukip

The SNP is likely to win upwards of 30 seats at the election. Ukip is tipped to win around three. So why are both parties often treated as if they’ll…

March 25, 2015

10 things we apparently already know about the election result

For an election that is frequently referred to as the most unpredictable for a generation, it sometimes feels like there’s a surprising amount that’s already being taken for granted about…

March 24, 2015

How parliament is preparing to pack up

At some point between 3pm and 5pm on Thursday afternoon, the 55th parliament of the United Kingdom will adjourn for the last time. Both chambers will be prorogued until Monday,…

March 23, 2015

Paddy Ashdown sounds like he’s still fighting the last election

Lord Ashdown made a speech a few days ago at the Liberal Democrats’ Scottish conference in which he more or less admitted that the only way the party are going…

March 22, 2015

How the TV debates will shape the campaign timetable

Now that the schedule for the leaders’ debates seems to have been settled*, the shape of the election campaign has become a bit more clear. We still have three live TV…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

Recent Comments

Andrew on Predicting the result: three w…
aidanmcgee on Seats to watch: the bellw…
Steve King on The election result: one last…
Ian Jones on The election result: one last…
Andrew on The election result: one last…

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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