October 31, 2014
October poll round-up: time to think local
All four of the main UK parties bounced around the polls this month with an unpredictability that prompted many a newspaper headline. Labour rose as high as 38% and plunged as…
Month: October 2014
October 30, 2014
South Yorkshire goes to the polls
The second largest by-election ever held in the UK takes place today. Voters across South Yorkshire have the chance to choose a new police and crime commissioner, following the resignation…
October 29, 2014
Greater Manchester: Labour’s rickety fortress
The UK’s second-largest conurbation has a population of 2.5m. It has 27 parliamentary constituencies, over three-quarters of which are Labour. It is one of the party’s traditional bedrocks – which…
October 28, 2014
Both the Lib Dems and Labour are now in the SNP’s sights
Speculation over how well the SNP will do at the election has not abated since the referendum a month ago. Almost all of it has focused on how many seats…
October 27, 2014
The Ukip inflation game
If you’re in the sensationalism industry, you’re only as good as your next headline. And if you’re in the Ukip sensationalism industry, that means headlines of ever-increasing bluster. Over the…
October 26, 2014
An electoral pact could be on the cards – but it’s not between the Tories and Ukip
If either Labour or the Conservatives need to form a “grand coalition” to take power after the election, the parties of Northern Ireland may suddenly find themselves kingmakers. The Tories…
October 25, 2014
Why Labour will struggle to become even the largest party in the next parliament
I made the point a few days ago that, for all the attention being rightly focused on Ukip, the Greens and the SNP, it’s nonetheless still the case that the…
October 24, 2014
Latest by-election results: Ukip’s forward march falters
Ukip had a number of chances in this week’s council by-elections to broaden the momentum it has enjoyed since winning the constituency of Clacton a fortnight ago. A few victories…
October 23, 2014
Despite the polls, it’s not all over in Rochester & Strood
We’re still an awful long way off from the Rochester & Strood by-election. Even though Mark Reckless announced his defection from the Tories to Ukip in late September, the contest…
October 22, 2014
The election outcome may still turn on how many seats Labour wins from the Tories
Anticipating what may happen at the general election often feels like trying to win a game of Risk with an ever-increasing number of players. Once it was simply a matter…
UK elections 2015 