UK elections 2015

Number-crunching, news-spotting and result-pondering

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All posts in: Scottish referendum

September 24, 2014

A referendum defeat has made the SNP more of a threat on polling day, not less

I’ve previously described Scotland as Labour’s red wedge, and a place where only one party is likely to make gains at the general election. But the referendum has changed all…

September 20, 2014

The parts of Scotland that attracted the most Yes votes should terrify Labour

The referendum result may have been the one that Labour wanted, but the party would do well to heed the warning sent to it by its historic Scottish strongholds. Three of…

September 19, 2014

One prediction Alex Salmond got right

The Scottish first minister’s expectation of a “record turnout” in the referendum came to pass. The figure of 84.6% tops the list of participation in every national or regional-based referendum…

September 18, 2014

What happens if there’s a riot, and six other referendum scenarios

Today’s referendum in Scotland is an unprecedented event – just the kind the polling organisations, local councils and electoral commissions don’t like. It is unique in modern political history and…

September 17, 2014

Referendum result night: why you should beware early trends

Although the votes cast in Thursday’s referendum are being collated and counted at 32 separate locations, it’s important to remember the final result is the sum of all votes across…

September 16, 2014

Alex Salmond expects a ‘record turnout’, but what’s the figure to beat?

The significance of Thursday’s referendum has prompted speculation we’re set for an enormous turnout.  The extension of the franchise to 16 and 17-year-olds, plus talk of a “once in a…

September 15, 2014

Referendum result night: what to expect and when

We’re almost there. On Thursday morning at 7am, 5,579 booths in 2,608 polling stations will open across Scotland for people to vote on whether their country should become independent. Just…

September 14, 2014

Parliament recalled and party conferences cancelled: the immediate consequences of a Yes vote

With immaculate timing, the House of Commons has shut up shop and gone on recess. MPs aren’t due back until 13 October. Their break from Westminster coincides with possibly the…

September 12, 2014

On results night, which parts of Scotland might declare first?

The largest ever electorate for a ballot in Scotland will take part in Thursday’s referendum. The Electoral Commission has said that just under 4.3m people are registered to vote –…

September 09, 2014

When to watch the referendum result on TV

Looking at the TV schedules, it seems neither the BBC nor ITV has made plans for any special coverage of the referendum on Friday 19 September – the day after the…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

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I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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