UK elections 2015

Number-crunching, news-spotting and result-pondering

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Month: February 2015

February 18, 2015

Which parties could benefit most from the ex-BNP vote?

At the last election, the party that prided itself most on posing as insurgent and anti-establishment was not Ukip or the Greens, but the BNP. It had done well enough…

February 17, 2015

Parties are still searching for replacement candidates

The total number of MPs standing down at the election has now reached 88. A few constituencies are still searching for replacements, even though we’re less than three months away…

February 16, 2015

Seats to watch: the full list

Here’s my complete guide to the seats I think will most shape the result of the election, and from which we’ll best judge the success and failure of all the…

February 15, 2015

Poll update: no surges, no slumps

Halfway through February, the opinion polls are still clinging stubbornly to the trend of the past few months:

February 14, 2015

Latest by-election results: Labour gains from Ukip

Only one seat was up for grabs in this week’s local by-elections. It was on Harlow council, and it was won by Labour from Ukip: The result represents a 10%…

February 13, 2015

Parties are advancing on the Lib Dems from four fronts: how many MPs will survive?

Academics from the British Election Study yesterday published what they called a “nowcast” (as opposed to a forecast) of the general election result. It caused quite a stir on social…

February 12, 2015

The biggest swings at the election may well be in Scotland

I wrote yesterday of how Labour will need a 19.7% swing to defeat Nick Clegg at the election, while the SNP will need a 20.8% swing to unseat Douglas Alexander….

February 11, 2015

The list of high-profile MPs at risk of defeat is growing

The number of MPs who may be facing a “Portillo moment” on election night just keeps getting longer. Already on the list was education secretary Nicky Morgan, who would be…

February 10, 2015

The other elections taking place on 7 May

Just before Christmas I had a go at listing all the other elections that were due to take place in the UK on the same day as the general election. The exact number…

February 09, 2015

Might the Tories be wiped out in Scotland – again?

The 1959 general election was the first time the Conservative party failed to win the most seats in Scotland. The Tories have been in decline in this part of the…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

Recent Comments

Andrew on Predicting the result: three w…
aidanmcgee on Seats to watch: the bellw…
Steve King on The election result: one last…
Ian Jones on The election result: one last…
Andrew on The election result: one last…

Categories

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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