Poll trends are more useful than poll snapshots. I’ve said that many times on this blog, but it’s worth repeating. It’s particularly worth repeating this month, where individual polls have…
In the next stage of my tour of the electoral map, I’m going to look at the main metropolitan areas in England. I’m starting with the West Midlands – not…
We’ve reached another symbolic marker in the countdown to the election. There are now just 200 days to go. The very latest opinion poll, published overnight by YouGov, puts Labour…
This month’s Liberal Democrat conference unspooled to an accompaniment of undisguised coalition bartering. Senior party members from Nick Clegg downwards were only too happy to advertise their readiness for a…
The Rochester & Strood by-election is still over a month away, but this week’s council by-elections gave Ukip a chance to remind the Conservatives of how powerful a force they…
Jeremy Browne’s decision not to stand for re-election as Liberal Democrat MP for Taunton Deane has probably turned his seat into a near-certain gain for the Tories. His majority of…
The second largest by-election ever held in the UK takes place at the end of this month. Voters in South Yorkshire go to the polls on 30 October to choose…
One of the most persuasive themes of modern political history is the decline not just of the two-party system but the three-party system as well. It is no longer possible…
We’ve now had 20 by-elections in this parliament. There’s at least one more to come. The Liberal Democrats have contested 18 of the 20, and have won only one: Eastleigh,…
If you’re searching for clues about the election result in the latest batch of opinion polls, good luck. Their forecasts seem to be all over the place. Take the three…
UK elections 2015 