For all the bad press MPs receive routinely about their long summer recess from the House of Commons, recent history suggests it barely affects their parties’ respective rating in the…
The Ukip slide that was evident in the polls at the start of July has become more marked. Here’s how the party averages are looking halfway through the month:
Today’s government reshuffle has brought promotion not just to some new faces but also some MPs with perilous majorities. A total of four Tory MPs in marginal seats have now…
One of the things I’ll be doing on the blog over the next few months is taking a look at each region of the UK to see how significant a…
The House of Commons shuts up shop for the summer on Tuesday 22 July. Whatever the rights or wrongs of MPs having such a long summer recess from Westminster, time…
Cornwall is going to be one of the counties to watch at the general election. All of its six constituencies are marginals – none more so than Camborne & Redruth,…
In my July prediction of the general election result, I put Hendon at the top of the list of seats I forecast Labour to gain from the Conservatives. It’s not…
Since 1979, there have been only two general elections where the winner has been uncertain: 1992 and 2010. In every other contest it’s been possible to name the victor several…
This month’s polls are starting to show a few intriguing trends. The averages of all four parties are on the move. Labour’s rise, first evident last month, is continuing. But…
It’s 19th on Labour’s list of targets. It would fall on a swing of just over 1%. Caroline Lucas’ majority is only 1,252. Last week a poll commissioned by Lord…
UK elections 2015 