UK elections 2015

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October 05, 2014

British politics has rediscovered its love for (and obsession with) by-elections

Thursday’s by-elections in Clacton and Heywood & Middleton, plus the forthcoming as-yet-unscheduled contest in Rochester & Strood, will bring the total number of by-elections in this parliament to 21. It’s…

October 04, 2014

Latest by-election results: Ukip gain from Labour

Only one of this week’s seven council by-elections saw a seat change hands – and it was a gain by Ukip. The party narrowly won a seat from Labour on…

October 03, 2014

In Clacton and Heywood & Middleton, second place will matter more than first when the results are read out

Last week I wondered why there had been no polls conducted in Heywood & Middleton ahead of the by-election on 9 October. Well, now one has been carried out by…

October 02, 2014

Scotland voted No to independence – but might it vote Yes to the SNP at the election?

The New Statesman’s political editor George Eaton tweeted on Tuesday that there were “lots [of people] at the Tory conference encouraged by the potential for the SNP to take Scottish…

October 01, 2014

September poll round-up: Lib Dems hit another new low as Ukip recovers momentum

After a quiet couple of months, the polling averages for all main parties are on the move – and it’s Ukip alone that has reason to be cheerful. The party…

September 30, 2014

Six months today the election campaign begins – and MPs have just 100 days left in the Commons

We’re precisely six months away from the Queen dissolving parliament, at which point the 2015 election campaign will be officially under way. MPs are due to sit in the House…

September 29, 2014

A few more Lib Dems look set to defy the trend

Lord Ashcroft’s latest poll of Liberal Democrat battleground constituencies suggests I may need to revise my classification of the six species of Lib Dem MPs. His findings point to the…

September 28, 2014

The Tories need a turnaround in the polls unprecedented in modern history

A poll by YouGov published last Sunday at the start of Labour’s party conference put the party on 36%. Today’s YouGov poll, published the Sunday after Labour’s party conference, puts…

September 27, 2014

Five reasons Mark Reckless will struggle to win Rochester & Strood for Ukip

1. This is not going to be a duplicate of Clacton. For one thing, as Mark Wallace says on the ConservativeHome website, “Reckless is no Carswell”. He does not have…

September 26, 2014

Latest by-election results: Tories and Lib Dems trade gains

All of seats up for grabs in this week’s council by-elections changed hands. The Tories took one from the Lib Dems – but the Lib Dems took two from the…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

Recent Comments

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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