I made the point a few days ago that, for all the attention being rightly focused on Ukip, the Greens and the SNP, it’s nonetheless still the case that the…
Ukip had a number of chances in this week’s council by-elections to broaden the momentum it has enjoyed since winning the constituency of Clacton a fortnight ago. A few victories…
We’re still an awful long way off from the Rochester & Strood by-election. Even though Mark Reckless announced his defection from the Tories to Ukip in late September, the contest…
Anticipating what may happen at the general election often feels like trying to win a game of Risk with an ever-increasing number of players. Once it was simply a matter…
Poll trends are more useful than poll snapshots. I’ve said that many times on this blog, but it’s worth repeating. It’s particularly worth repeating this month, where individual polls have…
In the next stage of my tour of the electoral map, I’m going to look at the main metropolitan areas in England. I’m starting with the West Midlands – not…
We’ve reached another symbolic marker in the countdown to the election. There are now just 200 days to go. The very latest opinion poll, published overnight by YouGov, puts Labour…
This month’s Liberal Democrat conference unspooled to an accompaniment of undisguised coalition bartering. Senior party members from Nick Clegg downwards were only too happy to advertise their readiness for a…
The Rochester & Strood by-election is still over a month away, but this week’s council by-elections gave Ukip a chance to remind the Conservatives of how powerful a force they…
Jeremy Browne’s decision not to stand for re-election as Liberal Democrat MP for Taunton Deane has probably turned his seat into a near-certain gain for the Tories. His majority of…
UK elections 2015 