UK elections 2015

Number-crunching, news-spotting and result-pondering

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All posts in: Opinion polls

May 16, 2014

Mid-month poll round-up: Labour’s not-so-incredible shrinking lead

Halfway through May, here’s how the parties’ poll averages are looking: Labour is on 34.9% (down 1.7 percentage points compared with April), the Conservatives are on 32.7% (up 0.3), the…

May 13, 2014

Making sense of polls 12 months from an election: a lesson from history

While Labour’s average opinion poll lead has narrowed of late, the overall trend continues to suggest the next government will be one with either a small Labour majority or a…

May 09, 2014

Labour’s lead has halved in 12 months – and there’s one year until the election

Opinion polls don’t tell us anything. They only suggest, tease, taunt and, for party leaders (especially those who claim they “never read them”) inspire panic. As we get ever-nearer to…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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