Two weeks to go

I’ve seen little in the campaign so far to convince me that the election result is going to be vastly different to the one I predicted earlier this month. I…

Will turnout be up or down?

The highest turnout in any general election of the past half-century was in February 1974: a contest that resulted in a hung parliament and a period of minority government. Almost…

One month to go

Time for my latest prediction of the election result – and it’s almost a dead heat: Here’s how that breaks down by party: