UK elections 2015

Number-crunching, news-spotting and result-pondering

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Month: March 2015

March 21, 2015

Latest by-election results: a lacklustre win for Labour

One solitary council by-election this week. It took place in the Rhyl South West ward of Denbighshire county council, and saw Labour easily hold the seat: The turnout was 20%,…

March 20, 2015

DUP-UU election pact: what could happen?

Despite spending much of the autumn of 2014 ruling out an election pact, the Democratic Unionist Party and the Ulster Unionists have this week gone ahead and agreed just that….

March 19, 2015

What Budgets do to opinion polls

Can big, long speeches about economics made in the House of Commons on a weekday lunchtime ever pack enough punch to shift the mood of the entire nation? Of course…

March 18, 2015

Labour is holding its ground in the Tory marginals – for now

Lord Ashcroft published his latest crop of constituency polls yesterday. They were from a selection of seats in the Tory-Labour battleground, as I previewed at the start of the week….

March 17, 2015

There now follows an election broadcast on behalf of… how many parties?

It wasn’t that many elections ago that party political broadcasts were quite an event, with the main TV channels broadcasting them virtually simultaneously and audiences tuning in dutifully if unenthusiastically…

March 16, 2015

The Tory-Labour battleground revisited

We’re due another batch of constituency polls this week from Lord Ashcroft. He hasn’t said precisely which seats he’s surveyed, or even when he’ll be releasing his data. All we…

March 15, 2015

One (fairly) safe prediction about the result of the election

The Electoral Reform Society published a report a couple of days ago on the number of female MPs likely to be in the next parliament. It concluded that we could…

March 14, 2015

Latest by-election results: one result, but no election

From time to time, council by-elections are settled not by a ballot but by nobody else bothering to contest the seat. So it proved this week in the Western Isles,…

March 13, 2015

Poll update: we’ve reached the crossover point

It’s been a long time coming and much anticipated, but the moment has finally arrived. The Conservatives’ monthly poll average has moved ahead of Labour for the first time since…

March 12, 2015

Why Wales could end up behaving more like England than Scotland

While the national media has been fixated on what could happen in Scotland at the election, next to no attention has been paid to Wales. If the nationalists are on…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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UK elections 2015
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