March 21, 2015
Latest by-election results: a lacklustre win for Labour
One solitary council by-election this week. It took place in the Rhyl South West ward of Denbighshire county council, and saw Labour easily hold the seat: The turnout was 20%,…
Month: March 2015
March 20, 2015
DUP-UU election pact: what could happen?
Despite spending much of the autumn of 2014 ruling out an election pact, the Democratic Unionist Party and the Ulster Unionists have this week gone ahead and agreed just that….
March 19, 2015
What Budgets do to opinion polls
Can big, long speeches about economics made in the House of Commons on a weekday lunchtime ever pack enough punch to shift the mood of the entire nation? Of course…
March 18, 2015
Labour is holding its ground in the Tory marginals – for now
Lord Ashcroft published his latest crop of constituency polls yesterday. They were from a selection of seats in the Tory-Labour battleground, as I previewed at the start of the week….
March 17, 2015
There now follows an election broadcast on behalf of… how many parties?
It wasn’t that many elections ago that party political broadcasts were quite an event, with the main TV channels broadcasting them virtually simultaneously and audiences tuning in dutifully if unenthusiastically…
March 16, 2015
The Tory-Labour battleground revisited
We’re due another batch of constituency polls this week from Lord Ashcroft. He hasn’t said precisely which seats he’s surveyed, or even when he’ll be releasing his data. All we…
March 15, 2015
One (fairly) safe prediction about the result of the election
The Electoral Reform Society published a report a couple of days ago on the number of female MPs likely to be in the next parliament. It concluded that we could…
March 14, 2015
Latest by-election results: one result, but no election
From time to time, council by-elections are settled not by a ballot but by nobody else bothering to contest the seat. So it proved this week in the Western Isles,…
March 13, 2015
Poll update: we’ve reached the crossover point
It’s been a long time coming and much anticipated, but the moment has finally arrived. The Conservatives’ monthly poll average has moved ahead of Labour for the first time since…
March 12, 2015
Why Wales could end up behaving more like England than Scotland
While the national media has been fixated on what could happen in Scotland at the election, next to no attention has been paid to Wales. If the nationalists are on…
