July 21, 2014
The Tory-Labour marginals: crucible of the next government
Some of the loudest and least dignified battles of the 2015 election will take place in the seats whose results will turn on a few hundred votes. These are the…
Some of the loudest and least dignified battles of the 2015 election will take place in the seats whose results will turn on a few hundred votes. These are the…
The constituency of Loughborough had, up until 15 July 2014, been just another seat on Labour’s target list. It had mildly symbolic value, thanks to the 3.5% swing needed for…
Nine by-election contests to report this week, and some intriguing results. Ukip were defending two seats – and lost both of them. One was on Cornwall council. Last week the…
Two months today the voters of Scotland go to the polls to decide whether their country should become independent. I thought it would be interesting to clarify a few details…
For all the bad press MPs receive routinely about their long summer recess from the House of Commons, recent history suggests it barely affects their parties’ respective rating in the…
The Ukip slide that was evident in the polls at the start of July has become more marked. Here’s how the party averages are looking halfway through the month:
Today’s government reshuffle has brought promotion not just to some new faces but also some MPs with perilous majorities. A total of four Tory MPs in marginal seats have now…
One of the things I’ll be doing on the blog over the next few months is taking a look at each region of the UK to see how significant a…
The House of Commons shuts up shop for the summer on Tuesday 22 July. Whatever the rights or wrongs of MPs having such a long summer recess from Westminster, time…
Cornwall is going to be one of the counties to watch at the general election. All of its six constituencies are marginals – none more so than Camborne & Redruth,…