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Month: July 2014

July 21, 2014

The Tory-Labour marginals: crucible of the next government

Some of the loudest and least dignified battles of the 2015 election will take place in the seats whose results will turn on a few hundred votes. These are the…

July 20, 2014

Loughborough: the low-profile target turned high-profile battleground

The constituency of Loughborough had, up until 15 July 2014, been just another seat on Labour’s target list. It had mildly symbolic value, thanks to the 3.5% swing needed for…

July 19, 2014

Latest by-election results: Ukip lose two seats, the Tories lose a council

Nine by-election contests to report this week, and some intriguing results. Ukip were defending two seats – and lost both of them. One was on Cornwall council. Last week the…

July 18, 2014

How the referendum result will be counted

Two months today the voters of Scotland go to the polls to decide whether their country should become independent. I thought it would be interesting to clarify a few details…

July 17, 2014

The summer recess hurts a political party’s reputation more than its poll ratings

For all the bad press MPs receive routinely about their long summer recess from the House of Commons, recent history suggests it barely affects their parties’ respective rating in the…

July 16, 2014

Mid-month poll update: Ukip’s bounce is over

The Ukip slide that was evident in the polls at the start of July has become more marked. Here’s how the party averages are looking halfway through the month:

July 15, 2014

The reshuffle has created new Tory stars but also more potential prize scalps for Labour

Today’s government reshuffle has brought promotion not just to some new faces but also some MPs with perilous majorities. A total of four Tory MPs in marginal seats have now…

July 14, 2014

South-west England: a Tory-Lib Dem hunting ground

One of the things I’ll be doing on the blog over the next few months is taking a look at each region of the UK to see how significant a…

July 13, 2014

Once summer’s over, the Commons will sit for just three-and-a-half months before the election

The House of Commons shuts up shop for the summer on Tuesday 22 July. Whatever the rights or wrongs of MPs having such a long summer recess from Westminster, time…

July 12, 2014

Latest by-election results: a Cornish pasting for the Tories

Cornwall is going to be one of the counties to watch at the general election. All of its six constituencies are marginals – none more so than Camborne & Redruth,…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

Recent Comments

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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