Some cheer for the Conservatives last night: they made two gains in this week’s local council by-elections. The first was a seat on East Cambridgeshire district council, which the party…
Lord Ashcroft has published his survey of the state of the parties in 17 Liberal Democrat-Conservative marginals. While the overall trend is for a swing from the Lib Dems to…
I’ve spent a bit of time looking at marginal constituencies recently, but one I haven’t yet mentioned is the most marginal of them all. There’s a reason for that. It’s…
We’re due a set of opinion polls this week from Liberal Democrat-Conservative marginal seats. The survey has been commissioned by Lord Ashcroft, who has dropped no hints about the results…
We’re now halfway through June, and Labour’s poll figures seem to suggest that the slight revival in evidence at the start of the month has been sustained:
Labour’s poll average is now nudging 36% (more on this tomorrow), which will please those in the party who believe in what’s been dubbed the “35% strategy”. Advocates of such…
Three local by-elections this week, all won by independents – in two cases, at the expense of other independents. One seat was up for grabs on Rother district council in…
An opinion poll on Scottish independence yesterday suggested the gap between the Yes and No vote was just five percentage points. Every time this happens, and the difference between both…
Of course it could. Anything’s possible. A more pertinent question would be: which seats might Labour lose at the election? The party has 16 seats in which its majority is…
If David Cameron decides to send an MP to Brussels to become the UK’s new European commissioner, we’ll have another by-election on our hands. Andrew Lansley’s name has been mentioned…
UK elections 2015 