May 28, 2014
Where the fight for London was won and lost
Around 9pm yesterday evening, over 100 hours since polls closed, the result for the Bromley South ward in Tower Hamlets was announced. It brought to an end the longest count…
May 27, 2014
Four UK parties were wiped out at the European elections
…but one of them wasn’t the Liberal Democrats. Northern Ireland declared its final set of results earlier today, meaning we now have a complete line-up of the UK’s newly-elected 73…
May 26, 2014
One prediction Nigel Farage got wrong
The day before the European elections took place, Ukip leader Nigel Farage forecast a “record turnout” at the polls. This would have meant more than 38.5% of UK electors casting…
May 26, 2014
The Liberal Democrats’ dicey dozen: how many survived?
Just the one. I predicted that the party’s MEPs would be reduced from 12 to three. In fact they have been reduced to a single person: Catherine Beader. Her stint…
May 25, 2014
That Ukip ‘surge’ in full
All the results from Thursday’s local elections are finally in*. Here’s precisely how Ukip has done: Expressed as a percentage, Ukip now holds 2.15% of the seats on councils where…
May 25, 2014
The strange death (again) of Liberal England
One of the first books I encountered when I started my A-level history course at school was by George Dangerfield. Its title was so punchy and intriguing that it has…
May 24, 2014
Labour’s top 20 targets: how did it do?
Not very well. Here’s the chart I compiled of the 20 councils it should have been easiest for Labour to win on Thursday: And here’s how the party actually did:
May 23, 2014
Nigel Farage dismissed ‘metropolitan types’ – and now they’ve dismissed him
Earlier this month I wondered whether it was wise of Ukip to make such a great play of defining itself against so-called “metropolitan types”, seeing as how many seats in…
May 23, 2014
First impressions: Ukip forays while Labour falters
Some thoughts on the results so far. 1. Despite what much of the media is saying this morning, this is not – so far – a Ukip “surge”. I’d describe…
May 22, 2014
Labour’s top 20 targets
Here’s something to keep close at hand during the next 24 hours. I’ve compiled a chart of the 20 councils it should be easiest for Labour to win. I’ve presented…
UK elections 2015 