UK elections 2015

Number-crunching, news-spotting and result-pondering

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December 04, 2014

Who could be the most high-profile casualty at the 2015 election?

In terms of the cabinet pecking order, Danny Alexander might end up the most senior politician to lose their seat on polling day. The Treasury chief secretary has a majority…

December 03, 2014

North-west England: Labour’s top target

The counties of Cheshire, Cumbria and Lancashire hold the greatest concentration of Labour targets in the country. Outside of Merseyside and Greater Manchester, north-west England offers the best chance for…

December 02, 2014

Seats to watch: the Lib Dems’ decisive half-dozen

Continuing my look at the seats that will illustrate how well or how badly each party does at the election, here’s my pick for the Liberal Democrats. As with my…

December 01, 2014

November poll round-up: Labour clings on

Labour’s lead over the Conservatives has narrowed slowly but persistently over the past few months. November saw this trend continue. The gap between the two parties’ average poll scores shrank…

November 30, 2014

Sinn Fein confirms it won’t sit in the next parliament

The five Sinn Fein MPs elected in 2010 have never taken their seats in the House of Commons. This has made it easier for the government to pass legislation, for…

November 29, 2014

Latest by-election results: gains for Tories, Ukip and the SNP

There was a rich crop of 13 council by-elections on Thursday, including a mix of gains, holds and even an uncontested seat. First, a local landslide for Conservative candidate Ronnie…

November 28, 2014

Ed Miliband will not lose his seat at the general election

Neither will Nick Clegg. Two new polls from Lord Ashcroft have suggested that the Lib Dem leader is at risk from Labour and that Ed Miliband could be defeated if…

November 27, 2014

The West Midlands continued

I’ve already looked at the state of play within the county of West Midlands, where Labour has a solid wedge of seats that won’t alter very much come polling day….

November 26, 2014

The Westminster departure lounge keeps on growing

Just last week I was boggling at the number of constituencies that are still, four months away from the start of the election campaign, without a candidate. Now another one…

November 25, 2014

Seats to watch: Labour’s decisive dozen

The 2015 election will not see one party sweep to power by making gains right across the country. Success will be localised. A party might do incredibly well in one…

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About this site

The informed musings of an election obsessive, counting down to 7 May 2015 by poring over the latest forecasts, sizing up target seats and candidates, and riding a swingometer across polls past and present.

Recent Posts

  • The election result: one last look
  • Where next for Ukip and the Greens?
  • Local election results – at last
  • The new election battleground
  • Some reflections

Recent Comments

Andrew's avatarAndrew on Predicting the result: three w…
aidanmcgee's avataraidanmcgee on Seats to watch: the bellw…
Steve King's avatarSteve King on The election result: one last…
Ian Jones's avatarIan Jones on The election result: one last…
Andrew's avatarAndrew on The election result: one last…

Categories

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About the author

I'm a digital journalist, web editor, freelance writer and occasional pundit. You can follow me on Twitter.

All text and images © Ian Jones 2014-15

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UK elections 2015
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