One consequence of the Liberal Democrats doing particularly badly at the 2015 election would be a downgrading of their status from third party of British politics to fourth – or even fifth….

Speculation over how well the SNP will do at the election has not abated since the referendum a month ago. Almost all of it has focused on how many seats…

Anticipating what may happen at the general election often feels like trying to win a game of Risk with an ever-increasing number of players. Once it was simply a matter…

This month’s Liberal Democrat conference unspooled to an accompaniment of undisguised coalition bartering. Senior party members from Nick Clegg downwards were only too happy to advertise their readiness for a…

It’s that point in the calendar where I offer my latest prediction of the election result. Precisely seven months away from polling day, I’m once again forecasting a hung parliament,…

The New Statesman’s political editor George Eaton tweeted on Tuesday that there were “lots [of people] at the Tory conference encouraged by the potential for the SNP to take Scottish…

I listed recently the many narratives that are already shaping the election campaign. One of the most popular, perhaps because it involves only one victim, is the so-called impending demise…

We’ve reached another marker in the countdown to polling day, so it’s time for another prediction of the election result. I’m still forecasting a hung parliament, though as usual I’ve…

Arithmetically, not very much. One scenario for the 2015 election sees the Tories managing to hold pretty much all the seats they won in 2010, while losing a few to…

It’s clear we’re going to be spoiled between now and May with the greatest number of polls and forecasts ever published in a British general election campaign. Among all the…