Just one council by-election this week. Labour held a seat on Derbyshire county council with ease: This was the first time Ukip contested the seat. The Tories slumped from second…
Time for my latest prediction of the election result. I’ve narrowed the gap between Labour and the Conservatives from what I suggested this time last month. I’ve also, once again,…
A small number of political journalists, such as Dan Hodges and John Rentoul, have started suggesting that the Tories won’t merely end up the largest party at the election, but will…
Last week I drew up a list of all the seats in Scotland currently held by parties other than the SNP. I grouped the seats into five categories based on…
For the past five general elections, the constituency of Houghton & Sunderland South (or Sunderland South as it used to be called) has been the first to declare. It will…
Esther McVey could well be the David Amess of this election. Famously, it was Amess’ successful defence of Basildon in the 1992 election that symbolised Labour’s failure to make enough…
Some interesting data was published a couple of days ago on the subject of how migrant voters could influence the outcome of the election. A report by the University of…
If you step back from the day-to-day fuss over individual opinion polls and ignore all the loose talk about Green “surges” and Tory “crossovers”, not much has really changed over…
UK elections 2015 