Another milestone in the countdown to polling day has arrived, which means it’s time for another prediction of the election result. As usual I’ve amended my forecast in light of…

A new study suggesting up to five Labour seats could fall to Ukip at the general election has sent the media into a bit of a flap. This always happens…

David Ruffley’s announcement that he is to stand down as MP for Bury St Edmunds has prompted a few calls for a snap by-election in the constituency. Ruffley has said…

Over one third of the people who voted in the 2010 general election did not vote for either the Conservatives or Labour. The two parties together managed a combined vote…

We’ve hit another marker on the countdown to polling day, so it’s time for my monthly prediction of the result. As before, I’ve tinkered with my forecast. This time it’s…

Tory backbenchers are playing the Ukip card again. Certain members of the party have been doing this for a year or so now, sometimes advocating an electoral pact, sometimes endorsing…

Labour’s poll average is now nudging 36% (more on this tomorrow), which will please those in the party who believe in what’s been dubbed the “35% strategy”. Advocates of such…

As each month passes and we get nearer to the general election, I’ll be offering a prediction of the result. Today marks precisely 11 months until polling day, so here’s…

London has 73 parliamentary constituencies. At present, they are divided between the parties like this: In light of Labour’s very strong performance in the capital in the local elections, I…

From one dicey dozen to another. Here’s a list of the 12 Liberal Democrat MPs who currently have the smallest majorities in parliament, and who are therefore the easiest (on…