April 23, 2015
Two weeks to go
I’ve seen little in the campaign so far to convince me that the election result is going to be vastly different to the one I predicted earlier this month. I…
Author: Ian Jones
April 22, 2015
If we really knew what will happen in Scotland, there’d be no need for the election
It’s a stubborn and slightly unfashionable thing to say, but I continue to believe there will be Labour MPs in Scotland after 7 May. And not just one or two….
April 21, 2015
Will turnout be up or down?
The highest turnout in any general election of the past half-century was in February 1974: a contest that resulted in a hung parliament and a period of minority government. Almost…
April 20, 2015
How the poll of polls has changed: update
Two polls at the weekend illustrated starkly the absence of consistency among individual snapshots of opinion at this election. One, carried out by Opinium for the Observer, put the Tories…
April 19, 2015
Leaders’ campaign visits: the totals so far
We’re well over halfway through the campaign, yet one of the two people who could be prime minister after 7 May hasn’t exactly been criss-crossing the nation taking his case…
April 18, 2015
Latest (and last) by-election results
Thursday’s council by-election in Cumbria was almost certainly the last of its kind we’ll see before polling day. No more by-elections are scheduled between now and 7 May. The steady drip of…
April 17, 2015
Five seats Lord Ashcroft should poll
We’ve been spoiled in this election with the amount and frequency of opinion polls available to dissect and debate, particularly constituency polls published by Lord Ashcroft. But there are some seats that…
April 16, 2015
The two numbers that sum up Labour’s election challenge
24. That used to be the kind of number of Conservative seats Labour needed to win at the election to ensure it ended up the largest party in parliament. But…
April 15, 2015
The Lib Dems’ top 20 target seats (in a parallel universe)
Nick Clegg’s visit earlier this week to the constituency of Maidstone & the Weald, on account of it being one his party’s “top targets”, led me to wonder whether the Lib…
April 14, 2015
Which seat is being contested by the most number of candidates?
A bit more digging into the candidate list for the election reveals that the most hotly-contested seat is set to be none other than Uxbridge & South Ruislip, where Boris…
